Carrarese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 0
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 0
PIS
34%
30%
35%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASL
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
CTT
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |