Carrarese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ABN
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 0
USC
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIV
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
LEC
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 2
SPA
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
USC
2 - 2
SPA
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |