Carrarese vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
USA
2 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIA
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
JS2
1 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
LEO
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
ABN
1 - 0
CAR
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
SIE
1 - 1
JS2
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NOV
4 - 0
SIE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
SIE
0 - 1
TER
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 0
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
USA
1 - 3
SIE
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |