Carrarese vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
PIS
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
SAV
1 - 0
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACP
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PON
0 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
RIM
1 - 2
SAN
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
CES
12%
21%
67%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
PON
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |