Carrarese vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 0
GSD
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
INT
7 - 0
CAR
87%
11%
3%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
JS2
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 2
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
PRO
15%
22%
64%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 1
PRO
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 1
ARZ
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 1
PRO
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |