Carrarese vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 1
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ACL
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VNZ
1 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
FER
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
COM
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VNZ
3 - 0
PRO
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
VIC
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |