Carrarese vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 0
ACL
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
PRO
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 0
CTT
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CES
3 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |