Carrarese vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
VNZ
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 0
GSD
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
INT
7 - 0
CAR
87%
11%
3%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
PIA
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
OLB
0 - 1
PON
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
PON
1 - 2
ARZ
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 1
PON
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
EMP
0 - 1
PON
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |