Carrarese vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
CAR
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ASC
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
REG
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 1
CAR
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
PIA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PON
2 - 4
TER
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PIA
1 - 1
PON
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
PON
26%
26%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
GRO
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |