Carrarese vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
CAR
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
BV5
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 0
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 0
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
PIA
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
PIA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
PIA
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 2
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |