Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 3-2
Carrarese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
PRG
0 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASL
0 - 1
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
RIM
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REC
4 - 1
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
PRG
0 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PRG
0 - 0
RIM
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PRG
1 - 1
ARZ
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 0
PRG
12%
24%
64%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |