Carrarese vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GER
1 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 0
OLB
72%
17%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
REN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 1
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
PER
1 - 3
JS2
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
REN
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
PER
1 - 2
LEO
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LEC
3 - 2
PER
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
OLB
1 - 4
PER
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |