Carrarese vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
PIS
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
REG
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 2
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
CTT
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
SPA
31%
27%
41%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
LEC
3 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
MON
0 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 1
MON
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |