Carrarese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 2
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 1
LEC
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 1
MOD
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SIE
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |