Carrarese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 1
USA
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 3
CAR
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 1
CES
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
USA
0 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ABN
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |