Carrarese vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
GRO
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 2
CAR
27%
25%
47%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GER
1 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
USA
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
LIV
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
LIV
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |