Carrarese vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
GER
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LRO
2 - 1
CAR
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASL
44%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 1
USA
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
RCR
1 - 2
LIV
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
3 - 0
PIS
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
USC
2 - 3
LIV
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 2
PIA
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |