Carrarese vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
ACL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CTT
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
USC
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
REG
3 - 2
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 2
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |