Carrarese vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
GRO
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GER
4 - 3
ASL
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
GER
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GER
1 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 0
GER
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
GER
1 - 2
LEO
22%
24%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |