Carrarese vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
SIE
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
USA
2 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIA
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GER
1 - 0
GOZ
49%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
GER
61%
24%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 2
GER
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GER
2 - 2
OLB
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GER
0 - 3
PRO
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |