Carrarese vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
5 - 1
TUT
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TER
3 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
PIA
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |