Carrarese vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
VIR
30%
29%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
ACP
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PIA
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
CAR
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
USC
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
FER
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
SSB
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 2
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |