Carrarese vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
REG
2 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
CAR
0 - 3
VER
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAT
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAG
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
COM
5 - 1
TRI
50%
28%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
COM
41%
31%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
COM
2 - 1
CAV
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
COM
48%
30%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
COM
1 - 1
USC
50%
30%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |