Carrarese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VIC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 2
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BEN
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAT
0 - 1
ATA
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
CAT
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
BEN
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |