Carrarese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAG
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
LES
4 - 3
CAR
25%
22%
53%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAR
4 - 0
ASC
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAT
1 - 1
REG
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1983 |
USC
0 - 0
CAT
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1983 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
CAT
2 - 1
PRG
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
LAZ
2 - 1
CAT
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |