Carrarese vs Pro Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TUT
3 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
PIS
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
USC
3 - 3
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ACP
3 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
LIV
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 1
ARZ
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
PIA
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 0
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 0
OLB
47%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
SIE
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |