Carrarese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASL
34%
29%
38%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 2
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRE
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
CAR
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
PAD
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
TRE
2 - 0
SPE
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPE
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 0
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CTT
3 - 1
SPE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |