Carrarese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
MOD
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 0
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 2
ACL
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
USA
0 - 2
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
LIV
0 - 0
SPE
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |