Carrarese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 3
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRO
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 2
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ALZ
2 - 4
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SPE
3 - 2
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |