Carrarese vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIV
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAD
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPA
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
REG
1 - 2
LIV
23%
27%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ABN
2 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 2
REG
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |