Carrarese vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 2
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ABN
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 0
USC
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
REG
0 - 0
BRE
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
REG
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
REG
0 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 0
REG
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |