Carrarese vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PIA
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
CAR
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
BV5
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
FCS
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USC
0 - 0
ACP
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
PIA
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
LAT
0 - 1
ACP
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 1
ASA
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |