Carrarese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 2
PIS
37%
30%
34%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARZ
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 0
CTT
45%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 2
ACL
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 2
TRE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 4
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACL
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |