Carrarese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRI
35%
29%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 2
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
TRE
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
ACL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ACL
3 - 0
ALV
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
ACL
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ACL
3 - 2
ARZ
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ABN
0 - 0
ACL
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |