Carrarese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 2
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
REG
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
SPA
3 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
ALV
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 0
ACL
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ACL
2 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
34%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
ACL
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 0
MOD
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |