Carrarese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ASL
4 - 5
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACP
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
RIM
1 - 1
ARZ
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
ARZ
68%
21%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 3
PIS
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LRO
2 - 2
ARZ
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |