Carranza vs Sporting Hortaleza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
60.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
NBO
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PDM
1 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
ATL
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPB
4 - 1
AGR
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SPB
2 - 1
ALC
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BPI
0 - 4
SPB
22%
21%
58%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 2
NBO
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 3
SPB
44%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |