Carranza vs Sporting Hortaleza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
SDH
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
ALC
56%
23%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RCA
1 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 1
CDS
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AVA
6 - 0
SPB
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 2
ADE
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NPI
0 - 6
SPB
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SPB
4 - 3
JUS
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |