Carranza vs Racing Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
JUS
1 - 2
CAR
38%
23%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 2
CAR
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
NAY
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
RVE
0 - 2
CDS
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FTO
3 - 5
RVE
25%
23%
53%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RVE
5 - 3
CAM
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 1
RVE
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 0
RVE
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |