Carranza vs Fomento Alumni CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HMA
1 - 3
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
COB
31%
24%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ESC
4 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 4
VDB
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOM
3 - 0
ALC
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NBO
4 - 0
FOM
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
FOM
3 - 0
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
FOM
36%
24%
41%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FOM
1 - 1
STA
51%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |