Carranza vs EM Cobeña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ESC
4 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 4
VDB
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
5 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPB
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EM Cobeña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
COB
0 - 0
CDS
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 0
COB
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COB
1 - 1
ADE
35%
24%
42%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NPI
2 - 0
COB
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COB
1 - 4
JUS
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |