Carranza vs Daganzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
AVA
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 2
CAR
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
RVE
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
JUS
1 - 2
CAR
38%
23%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Daganzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DAG
2 - 1
VDB
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
DAG
42%
24%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DAG
4 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
DAG
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DAG
3 - 0
SPB
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |