Carranza vs CF Valdebebas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
5 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPB
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
SDH
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Valdebebas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VDB
1 - 2
CDS
14%
20%
67%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 0
VDB
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VDB
0 - 3
ADE
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NPI
2 - 1
VDB
71%
15%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
VDB
0 - 2
JUS
14%
18%
69%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |