Carranza vs CD San Roque EFF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 2
CAR
32%
23%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
ADE
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NPI
4 - 1
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUS
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
HEN
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Roque EFF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DAG
5 - 0
CDS
45%
24%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 0
AVA
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 1
CDS
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
NPI
48%
23%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
JUS
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |