Carranza vs CD Avance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 2
CAR
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
NPI
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
JUS
1 - 2
CAR
38%
23%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 2
CAR
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Avance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
CDS
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
DAG
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 2
AVA
32%
23%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SDH
0 - 3
AVA
37%
23%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AVA
5 - 0
FTO
59%
21%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |