Carranza vs Chopera Alcobendas 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGR
1 - 3
CAR
31%
23%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
BPI
18%
20%
63%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
UAR
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FTC
3 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chopera Alcobendas 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
ALC
38%
23%
40%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NBO
1 - 0
ACA
63%
18%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ACA
3 - 1
PDM
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 1
ACA
52%
21%
26%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 1
STA
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |