Carranque vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
ROD
20%
24%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
UDS
1 - 2
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
QRE
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 1
CIU
18%
25%
57%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PIE
2 - 3
TOM
32%
27%
42%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 2
CDT
15%
25%
60%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
TOM
59%
23%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 0
CRI
76%
17%
7%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |