Carranque vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VRU
2 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
TOM
42%
26%
32%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
ROD
20%
24%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
UDS
1 - 2
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ILL
3 - 0
CIU
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 0
ILL
16%
23%
61%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 2
CDT
21%
26%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ILL
39%
26%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ILL
3 - 0
CRI
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |