Carranque vs La Gineta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
TOM
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ALM
3 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
AZU
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PIE
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Gineta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
LGI
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LGI
1 - 1
PIE
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
LGI
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LGI
0 - 2
CIU
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CRI
3 - 2
LGI
41%
26%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |