Carranque vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
CRI
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
LGI
1 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
HEL
0 - 1
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 1
CIU
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 0
CDT
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
4 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDT
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CDT
4 - 0
CRI
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |